![]() Silver further developed PECOTA and wrote a weekly column under the heading " Lies, Damned Lies". After resigning from KPMG in 2004, he took the position of Executive Vice-President, later renamed Managing Partner of BP. In 2003, Silver became a writer for Baseball Prospectus (BP), after having sold PECOTA to BP in return for a partnership interest. According to Sports Illustrated writer Alexander Wolff, over a three-year period Silver earned $400,000 from online poker. He quit his job at KPMG in April 2004 and for a time earned his living mainly by playing online poker. While employed at KPMG, Silver continued to nurture his lifelong interest in baseball and statistics, and on the side he began to work on his PECOTA system for projecting player performance and careers. When asked in 2009, "What is your biggest regret in life?" Silver responded, "Spending four years of my life at a job I didn't like". Career Economic consultant: 2000–2004 Īfter college graduation in 2000, Silver worked for three and a half years as a transfer pricing consultant with KPMG in Chicago. ![]() He spent his third year at the London School of Economics. He also wrote for the Chicago Weekly News and the Chicago Maroon. ![]() In 2000, Silver graduated with honors with a Bachelor of Arts degree in economics from the University of Chicago. Silver first showed his journalism skills as a writer and opinion page editor for The Portrait, East Lansing High School's student newspaper, from 1993–1996. Knight Scholarship Contest for senior high school debaters in 1996. Īs a student at East Lansing High School, Silver won first place in the State of Michigan in the 49th annual John S. And if there's anything that goes hand in glove with baseball, it's numbers, another of Silver's childhood interests ("It's always more interesting to apply it to batting averages than algebra class")". The Tigers became his team and baseball his sport. It was 1984, the year the Detroit Tigers won the World Series. According to journalist William Hageman, "Silver caught the baseball bug when he was 6. Silver showed a proficiency in math from a young age. Silver has described himself as " half-Jewish". Silver's father's family includes two uncles- Leon Silver and Caswell Silver-who were distinguished geologists. ![]() His maternal great-grandfather, Harmon Lewis, was president of the Alcoa Steamship Company, Inc. Silver's mother's family was of English and German descent. Silver was born in East Lansing, Michigan, the son of Sally (née Thrun), a community activist, and Brian David Silver, a former chair of the political science department at Michigan State University. ![]() Much of Silver's approach can be characterized by using probabilistic and statistical modeling to try and understand complex social systems, such as professional sports, the popularity of political platforms, and elections. His polls-only model gave Donald Trump only a 28.6% chance of victory in the 2016 presidential election, but this was higher than many other forecasting competitors. His subsequent election forecasting systems predicted the outcome of the 20 presidential elections with a high degree of accuracy. Silver was named one of the world's 100 most influential people by Time in 2009 after an election forecasting system he developed successfully predicted the outcomes in forty-nine of the fifty states in the 2008 U.S. He is the founder of FiveThirtyEight, and held the position of editor-in-chief there, along with being a special correspondent for ABC News, until May 2023. Nathaniel Read Silver (born January 13, 1978) is an American statistician, writer, and poker player who analyzes baseball (see sabermetrics), basketball, and elections (see psephology). ![]()
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